Posts Tagged ‘credits’

Summary of required rate of return

November 16th, 2010

The overall required rate of return on alternative investments is determined by three variables: (1) the economy’s RRFR, which is influenced by the investment opportunities in the economy (that is, the long-run real growth rate); (2) variables that influence the NRFR, which include short-run ease or tightness in the capital market and the expected rate of inflation (notably, these variables, which determine the NRFR, are the same for all investments); and (3) the risk premium on the investment. In turn, this risk premium can be related to fundamental factors, including business risk, financial risk, liquidity risk, exchange rate risk, and country risk, or it can be a function of systematic market risk (beta).
Measures and Sources of Risk    We have examined both measures and sources of risk arising from an investment. The measures of risk for an investment are:
? Variance of rates of return
? Standard deviation of rates of return
? Coefficient of variation of rates of return (standard deviation/means)
? Covariance of returns with the market portfolio (beta)
The sources of risk are:
? Business risk
? Financial risk
? Liquidity risk
? Exchange rate risk
? Country risk

Market Capitalization

November 16th, 2010

Market capitalization is defined as the total dollar value of a stock’s out- standing shares and is computed by multiplying the number of outstanding shares by the current market price. Thus, market capitalization is a measure of corporate size. With approximately 8,500 stocks available to trade on U.S. stock exchanges, many traders judge a company by its size, which can be a determinant in price and risk. In fact, there are four unofficial size classifications for U.S. stocks: blue chips, mid-caps, small caps, and micro-caps.
1. Blue-chip stocks. Blue chip is a term derived from poker, where blue chips in a card game hold the most value. Hence, blue-chip stocks are those stocks that have the most market capitalization in the market- place (more than $5 billion). Typically they enjoy solid value and good security, with a record of continuous dividend payments and other desirable investment attributes.
2. Mid-cap stocks. Mid-caps usually have a bigger growth potential than blue-chip stocks but they are not as heavily capitalized ($500 million to $5 billion).
3. Small-cap stocks. Small caps can be potentially difficult to trade be- cause they do not have the benefit of high liquidity (valued at $150 million to $500 million). However, these stocks, although quite risky, are usually relatively inexpensive and big gains are possible.
4. Micro-cap stocks. Micro-caps, also known as penny stocks, are stocks priced at less than $2 per share with a market capitalization of less than $150 million.
Some traders like to trade riskier stocks because they have the potential for big price moves; others prefer the longer-term stability of blue-chip stocks. In general, deciding which stocks to trade depends on your time availability, stress threshold, and account size.

Credit spreads

November 9th, 2009

The use of duration as a measure of interest rate risk implicitly assumes that there is no relationship between credit spreads and the level of risk-free rates. In fact it ignores credit spreads completely. In a stable interest rate environment, but where credit spreads are widening, the use of duration as a measure of changing economic value will tend to overstate the value of a bank’s assets and hence its economic value.

The use of scarce resources is costly, so trade-offs must be made.

July 2nd, 2009

Economists sometimes refer to this as the “there is no such thing as a free lunch” principle. Because resources are scarce, the use of resources to produce one good diverts those resources from the production of other goods. A parcel of undeveloped land could be used for a new hospital or a parking lot, or it could simply be left undeveloped. No option is free of cost-there is always a trade-off. The choice to pursue any one of these options means the others must be sacrificed. The highest valued alternative that must be sacrificed is the opportunity cost of the option chosen. For example, if you use one hour of your scarce time to study economics, you will have one hour less time to watch television, read magazines, sleep, work at a job, or study other subjects. Whichever one of these options you would have chosen had you not spent the hour studying economics is your highest valued option forgone. If you would have been sleeping, then the opportunity cost of this hour spent studying economics is a forgone hour of sleep. In economics, the opportunity cost of an action is the highest valued option given up when a choice is made.
It is important to recognize that the use of scarce resources to produce a good is always costly, regardless of who pays for the good or service produced. In many countries, various kinds of schooling are provided free of charge to students. However, provision of the schooling is not free to the community as a whole. The scarce resources used to produce the schooling-to construct the building, hire teachers, buy equipment, and so on-could have been used instead to produce more recreation, entertainment, housing, medical care, or other goods. The opportunity cost of the schooling is the highest valued option given up because the resources required for its production were instead used for schooling.
By now the central point should be obvious. As we make choices, we are continually faced with trade-offs. Using resources to do one thing leaves fewer resources to do another. Consider one final example. Mandatory air bags in automobiles save an estimated 400 lives each year. Economic thinking, however, forces us to ask ourselves if the $SO billion spent on air bags could have been used in a better way-perhaps say, for cancer research that could have saved more than 400 lives per year. Most people don’t like to think of air bags and cancer research as an “eitherlor” proposition. It’s more convenient to ignore these trade-offs. But if we want to get the most out of our resources, we have to consider all of our alternatives. In this case, the appropriate analysis is not lives saved with air bags versus dollars spent on them, but the number of lives that could have been saved (or other things that could have been accomplished) if the $SO billion had been used differently. A candid consideration of hard trade-offs like this is essential to using our resources wisely.